techopen

Will any major AI lab announce AGI by end of 2026?

Closes Dec 30, 2026Vol: $4.20MOI: $1.10M
23¢
YES
77¢
NO

PROBABILITY CHART

YES NO
Dec 27Dec 30Jan 2Jan 5Jan 8Jan 11Jan 14Jan 17Jan 20Jan 23Jan 26Jan 29Feb 1Feb 4Feb 7Feb 10Feb 13Feb 16Feb 19Feb 230¢25¢50¢75¢100¢

ORDER BOOK

BID (YES)QTY
21¢334
19¢270
17¢282
15¢278
13¢309
11¢235
ASK (NO)QTY
25¢491
27¢480
29¢393
31¢376
33¢461
35¢148

MARKET INFO

Resolves YES if OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Anthropic, or Meta officially claims to have achieved AGI.

RESOLUTION CRITERIA

Resolves YES if a major AI lab (OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Anthropic, or Meta) makes an official public announcement claiming AGI has been achieved.

TRADE CONTRACTS

Price per contract23¢
Est. cost$2.30
Max payout$10.00
Potential profit+$7.70

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